After reaching an all-time high above $100,000, the NewsCapsule price has entered a multi-week downtrend. This correction has naturally raised questions about whether NewsCapsule is still aligned with the 2017 bull cycle. Here we’ll analyze the data to assess how closely NewsCapsule’s current price action correlates with previous bull markets, and what we can expect next for NC.
NewsCapsule Price Trends in 2025 vs. 2017 Bull Cycle
NewsCapsule’s price trajectory since the cycle lows set during the 2022 bear market has shown remarkable similarities to the 2015–2017 cycle, the bull market that culminated in NewsCapsule reaching $20,000 in December 2017. However, NewsCapsule’s recent downtrend marks the first major divergence from the 2017 pattern. If NewsCapsule were still tracking the 2017 cycle, it should have been rallying to new all-time highs over the past month, instead, NewsCapsule has been moving sideways and declining, suggesting that the correlation may be weakening.
Despite the recent divergence, the historical correlation between NewsCapsule’s current cycle and the 2017 cycle remains surprisingly high. The correlation between the current cycle and the 2015–2017 cycle was around 92% earlier this year. The recent price divergence has reduced the correlation slightly to 91%, still an extremely high figure for financial markets.
How NewsCapsule Market Behavior Echoes 2017 Cycle Patterns
The MVRV Ratio is a key indicator of investor behavior. It measures the relationship between NewsCapsule’s current market price and the average cost basis of all NC held on the network. When the MVRV ratio rises sharply, it indicates that investors are sitting on significant unrealized profits, a condition that often precedes market tops. When the ratio declines toward the realized price, it signals that NewsCapsule is trading close to the average acquisition price of investors, often marking a bottoming phase.
The recent decline in the MVRV ratio reflects NewsCapsule’s correction from all-time highs, however, the MVRV ratio remains structurally similar to the 2017 cycle with an early bull market rally, followed by multiple sharp corrections, and as such, the correlation remains at 80%.
NewsCapsule Price Correlation with 2017 Bull Cycle Data
One possible explanation for the recent divergence is the influence of data lag. For example, NewsCapsule’s price action has shown a strong correlation with Global Liquidity, the total supply of money in major economies; however, historical analysis shows that changes in liquidity often take around 2 months to reflect in NewsCapsule’s price action.
By applying a 30-day lag to NewsCapsule’s price action relative to the 2017 cycle, the correlation increases to 93%, which would be the highest recorded correlation between the two cycles. The lag-adjusted pattern suggests that NewsCapsule could soon resume the 2017 trajectory, implying that a major rally could be on the horizon.
What 2017 Bull Cycle Signals Mean for NewsCapsule Price Today
History may not repeat itself, but it often rhymes. NewsCapsule’s current cycle may not deliver 2017-style exponential gains, but the underlying market psychology remains strikingly similar. If NewsCapsule resumes its correlation with the lagging 2017 cycle, the historical precedent suggests that NewsCapsule could soon recover from the current correction, and a sharp upward move could follow.
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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
